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List of 70+ Udemy and Some Best Discounted

List of 70 plus Udemy and Some Best Discounted ( Code Valid from few hours to upto 2 days )
  1. [English] 0h 49m Media Training -Radio: How to Speak Effectively on the Radio https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-speak-on-radio/?couponCode=455D2FA6B100BA01CD9D 2 Days left at this price!
  2. [English] 1h 36m Charisma: You Can Develop Charisma https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-develop-charisma/?couponCode=6BDAE9933FB569BED8C1 2 Days left at this price!
  3. [English] 0h 53m Personal Communication-Introduce Yourself With Confidence https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-introduce-yourself/?couponCode=C1DA326C0525CE2CE591 2 Days left at this price!
  4. [English] 29h 12m Leadership: You Can Speak Like a Leader https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-speak-like-a-leade?couponCode=64F401DDD08142A231B9 2 Days left at this price!
  5. [English] 1h 34m Public Speaking Skills: Give a Great Informational Speech https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-give-an-informational-speech/?couponCode=A2DBDF7C2F45ACDD316D 2 Days left at this price!
  6. [English] 0h 59m Sales Skills Training: Free Sales Generation Seminars https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-deliver-a-free-sales-generation-semina?couponCode=47D73D11D2A7EC7D6FBC 2 Days left at this price!
  7. [English] 0h 53m Public Relations: Speak Effectively at Press Conferences https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-speak-at-a-press-conference/?couponCode=1EEA0257E6A81D7A3FBA 2 Days left at this price!
  8. [English] 1h 56m Complete Management Coaching Course - Executive Coaching https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-management-coaching-course-executive-coaching/?couponCode=D8B3ADC8240A82506319 2 Days left at this price!
  9. [English] 5h 46m Become a Successful Online Teacher - Teach Online Students https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-udemy-bestsellers-online-course-creation-unofficial/?couponCode=3CD9C87E21C76A849072 2 Days left at this price!
  10. [Turkish] 5h 5m Oğuz Hoca'yla Sorunsuz Matematik-3 (TYT, KPSS, DGS, ALES) https://www.udemy.com/course/oguz-hocayla-sorunsuz-matematik-3-tyt-kpss-dgs-ales/?couponCode=OGUZHOCAPROBLEMLER 1 Day left at this price!
  11. [English] 2h 49m Learn HTML- Beginner to Advanced https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-html-beginner-to-advanced/?couponCode=462B17B62209CD079DB1 2 Days left at this price!
  12. [English] 1h 18m How to Earn from Photography: Absolute Beginners Guide https://www.udemy.com/course/earn-from-photography-complete-guideline/?couponCode=EARNPOCT2020F2 2 Days left at this price!
  13. [English] 6h 3m The Complete Android Ethical Hacking Practical Course C|AEHP https://freebiesglobal.com/the-complete-android-ethical-hacking-practical-course-caehp-5 2 Days left at this price!
  14. [English] 8h 49m TCP/IP Socket Programming HandsOn-Windows & Linux in C & C++ https://www.udemy.com/course/tcpip-socket-programming-handson-windows-linux-in-c-c/?couponCode=SOCKET_PROG20 2 Days left at this price!
  15. [English] 20h 20m Ultimate Content Writing Masterclass: 30 Courses in 1 https://www.udemy.com/course/ultimate-content-writing-masterclass-30-courses-in-1/?couponCode=WRITING28 2 Days left at this price!
  16. [English] 7h 53m Complete Law of Attraction MasterClass - Manifest Your Goals https://www.udemy.com/course/lawofattractionmasterclass/?couponCode=LAWOFATTRACTION 2 Days left at this price!
  17. [English] 3h 23m Microsoft Power BI: Latest 2020 Beginner to Expert Modules https://www.udemy.com/course/microsoft-power-bi-latest-2020-beginner-to-expert-modules/?couponCode=POWER29 2 Days left at this price!
  18. [English] 2h 0m The Ultimate Guide to Scrum Fundamentals- 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/scrum-genman/?couponCode=GETSCRUM 2 Days left at this price!
  19. [Arabic] 6h 44m التسعير السيكولوجي https://www.udemy.com/course/pricing-psychology/?couponCode=ECCC0837587E3536A6E2 2 Days left at this price!
  20. [English] 0h 46m Mindfulness For Depression, Anxiety, PTSD, Stress Sampler https://www.udemy.com/course/mindfulness-for-depression-anxiety-ptsd-stress-sample?couponCode=7B330FB6CB29EAF8D7EC 2 Days left at this price!
  21. [Spanish] 2h 50m [2020] COBIT version 5 Fundamentos https://www.udemy.com/course/cobit-5-fundamentos/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  22. [Spanish] 1h 10m [2020] Service Desk Fundamentos https://www.udemy.com/course/service-desk-lider-certificacion/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  23. [Spanish] 1h 2m Mejores Prácticas de Trabajo Remoto-Remote Worker CertiProf https://www.udemy.com/course/remote-worker-trabajo-remoto/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  24. [English] 1h 18m Make Money From Home As a Transcriptionist: 10 Opportunities https://www.udemy.com/course/work-home-transcription-jobs/?couponCode=6A392F6ABDB69E35C569 2 Days left at this price!
  25. [English] 10h 6m CATIA V5 3D Design & Modeling Course for Beginner https://www.udemy.com/course/catia-v5-3d-design-modeling-course-for-beginne?couponCode=OCTEND 17 hrs left at this price!
  26. [English] 3h 13m Affinity Publisher Guide - Affinity Publisher for Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/affinity-publisher-guide/?couponCode=60C5AAC8301103E15A98 2 Days left at this price!
  27. [Spanish] 8h 5m Aprende cálculo integral desde cero https://www.udemy.com/course/aprende-calculo-integral-desde-cero/?couponCode=49F116345F722309DC08 2 Days left at this price!
  28. [English] 2h 31m AWS Business Essentials - The Business Value of Amazon AWS https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-business-essentials/?couponCode=AWSBUSINESS 1 Day left at this price!
  29. [English] 3h 13m PowerPoint Essentials for Business Presentations https://www.udemy.com/course/powerpoint-essentials-for-business-presentations/?couponCode=OCT2020 1 Day left at this price!
  30. [English] 56h 30m Corporate Finance https://www.udemy.com/course/corporate-finance/?couponCode=B2A8FAB800A27473FAAC 13 hrs left at this price!
  31. [English] 10h 44m QuickBooks Desktop Job Costing https://www.udemy.com/course/quickbooks-desktop-job-costing/?couponCode=8339216EE9B309F3C0A3 13 hrs left at this price!
  32. [English] 1h 24m Brain-friendly reading - Understand 300 books per year https://www.udemy.com/course/brain-friendly-reading-understand-300-books-per-yea?couponCode=STARTREADING 2 Days left at this price!
  33. [English] 2h 29m Shopify Guide: Start your own clothing brand with Shopify https://www.udemy.com/course/start-your-own-clothing-brand-with-shopify/?couponCode=F4DA690ABE790611EEFF 2 Days left at this price!
  34. [English] 2h 33m Shopify guide: The complete shopify store creation course https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-shopify-store-creation-course/?couponCode=4B1F31E169BB9AF277E8 2 Days left at this price!
  35. [English] 1h 12m Learn Google Docs https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-google-docs/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  36. [English] 2h 1m Learn Advanced HTML5 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-html-5-course-from-scratch/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  37. [English] 0h 48m Learn Google Forms https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-google-forms/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  38. [English] 1h 53m Learn Advanced CSS3 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-css-course/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  39. [English] 2h 15m Learn Advanced JavaScript https://www.udemy.com/course/the-learn-javascript-course/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  40. [English] 0h 32m Learn Microsoft PowerApps https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-microsoft-powerapps-/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  41. [English] 0h 44m Learn Trello https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-basic-trello/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  42. [English] 1h 50m Learn Advanced jQuery https://www.udemy.com/course/the-learn-jquery-course/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  43. [English] 0h 47m Gmail https://www.udemy.com/course/gmail-productivity/?couponCode=TRY10FREE307 2 Days left at this price!
  44. [Spanish] 1h 10m Física: Estática - Fuerzas - Equilibrio - Ejercicios https://www.udemy.com/course/fisicaestatica/?couponCode=40DA54990CA840FC16CB 1 Day left at this price!
  45. [English] 3h 33m PlayerUnknown's Battlegrounds (PUBG) For Beginner Gamers https://www.udemy.com/course/playerunknowns-battlegrounds-pubg/?couponCode=PUBGBGEXPOCT312020 2 Days left at this price!
  46. [English] 1h 29m Fast Video Ranking No Matter Your Niche With XRanker360 SEO https://www.udemy.com/course/fast-video-ranking-seo/?couponCode=FVRNMEXPOCT312020 2 Days left at this price!
  47. [Spanish] 3h 27m [2020] Scrum Master Certificación Mundial https://www.udemy.com/course/scrum-master-espanol/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  48. [Spanish] 1h 46m Agile Coach Introducción al Rol https://www.udemy.com/course/agile-coach/?couponCode=OCT2020 2 Days left at this price!
  49. [English] 4h 2m Intuition Development for Beginners | Energy Healing & Tarot https://www.udemy.com/course/intuition-energy-healing/?couponCode=INTUITIONFREE 1 Day left at this price!
  50. [English] 2h 33m Vegan Cooking Class Vegan Thai Food Easy Vegan Recipes https://www.udemy.com/course/vegan-cooking-class-vegan-thai-food-easy-vegan-recipes/?couponCode=VEGANTHAI28102020 1 Day left at this price!
  51. [English] 0h 36m Learn Basics of Adobe Photoshop CC 2020 for Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-basics-of-adobe-photoshop-cc-for-beginners/?couponCode=2618FE9D22523F56914C 20 hrs left at this price!
  52. [English] 2h 45m Master Spring & Angular Material with a full web application https://www.udemy.com/course/master-spring-angular-material-with-a-full-web-application/?couponCode=A0BECB22BC8C8D9C98B6 1 Day left at this price!
  53. [English] 1h 46m Portrait Photography for Absolute Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/mastering-portrait-photography/?couponCode=PORTRAITOCT2020F3 1 Day left at this price!
  54. [English] 2h 17m Complete Guide to InVideo and InVideo Video Creation https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-guide-to-invideo-and-invideo-video-creation/?couponCode=89061B53CBC29FF9F2EC 1 Day left at this price!
  55. [English] 4h 51m New Way to Make Money at No Budget! Drop Servicing WordPress https://www.udemy.com/course/create-drop-servicing-website-with-wordpress/?couponCode=FREEPROMOTION 1 Day left at this price!
  56. [English] 5h 5m Advance Maths: Part III: Statistics & Probability https://www.udemy.com/course/advanced-mathematics-part-iii-statistics-probability/?couponCode=SAM2612 15 hrs left at this price!
  57. [English] 2h 29m Advance Maths: Part II: Fourier Transform https://www.udemy.com/course/advance-course-in-mathematics-part-ii/?couponCode=SIMABHI2612 15 hrs left at this price!
  58. [English] 4h 1m Advance Maths: Part I: Linear Differential Equations https://www.udemy.com/course/advanced-course-in-mathematics-part-i/?couponCode=SEEMABHI2612 14 hrs left at this price!
  59. [English] 53h 42m Managerial Accounting / Cost Accounting https://www.udemy.com/course/managerial-accounting-cost-accounting/?couponCode=74CEB0E3645D8ED18DEA 12 hrs left at this price!
  60. [English] 118h 56m Accounting–Financial Accounting Total-Beginners to Advanced https://www.udemy.com/course/financial-accounting-accounting-cycle/?couponCode=FBA9292E89D59C671FB3 12 hrs left at this price!
  61. [English] 100h 13m QuickBooks Online 2020 Vs. QuickBooks Desktop 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/quickbooks-online-vs-quickbooks-desktop/?couponCode=8548658665DC1E3B1CB9 12 hrs left at this price!
  62. [English] 5h 32m Python Demonstrations For Practice Course https://freebiesglobal.com/python-demonstrations-for-practice-course-4 1 Day left at this price!
  63. [English] 6h 23m Learning Analytics Through R https://www.udemy.com/course/learning-analytics/?couponCode=LEARNING28 1 Day left at this price!
  64. [English] 9h 40m Tableau Training: Master Tableau For Data Science https://www.udemy.com/course/tableau-training-master-tableau-for-data-science/?couponCode=TABLEAU28 1 Day left at this price!
  65. [English] 1h 36m Computer Basics 2020:Essential Computer Skills And Knowledge https://www.udemy.com/course/computer-basics-2020-basic-computer-skills-and-fundamentals/?couponCode=DISCOUNT-100 1 Day left at this price!
  66. [English] 49h 1m The Complete 2020 PHP Full Stack Web Developer Bootcamp https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-php-full-stack-web-developer-bootcamp/?couponCode=FREEBEEOCT 1 Day left at this price!
  67. [English] 3h 50m Substance painter 2020 - The complete 3D Texturing course https://www.udemy.com/course/substance-painter-2020-the-complete-3d-texturing-course/?couponCode=FREETIME 1 Day left at this price!
  68. [Spanish] 4h 17m Excel para negocios y empresas | ACTUALIZADO 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/excelparanegocios/?couponCode=13E45874992DC0C540CD 1 Day left at this price!
  69. [English] 3h 49m Introduction to Forex- learn to trade forex by yourself https://www.udemy.com/course/introduction-to-forex-learn-to-trade-forex-by-yourself/?couponCode=1F0D68F4944923897966 1 Day left at this price!
  70. [English] 2h 15m Business Networking for Success and Company Growth: Part Two https://www.udemy.com/course/business-networking-for-success-2/?couponCode=BNSCGEXPOCT302020 1 Day left at this price!
  71. [English] 2h 13m Business Networking for Success and Company Growth: Part One https://www.udemy.com/course/business-networking-1/?couponCode=BNSCPOEXPOCT302020 1 Day left at this price!
  72. [English] 3h 50m Substance painter 2020 - The complete 3D Texturing course https://www.udemy.com/course/substance-painter-2020-the-complete-3d-texturing-course/?couponCode=FREETIME 1 Day left at this price!
  73. [English] 1h 27m Business Networking for Success and Company Growth: Part 3 https://www.udemy.com/course/business-networking-for-success-3/?couponCode=BNSCEXPOCT302020 1 Day left at this price!
  74. [English] 1h 51m Lean Tools and Techniques for Flow and Pull https://www.udemy.com/course/lean-tools-and-techniques-for-flow-and-pull/?couponCode=B035585AB9A21B8432CE 12 hrs left at this price!
Popular courses form $9.99
  1. [English] 6h 20m Lean for Business Organizations https://www.udemy.com/course/lean-for-business-organizations/?couponCode=C5518B068F924319C5FB 12 hrs left at this price!
  2. [English] 7h 53m Introduction to Cloud Computing on Amazon AWS for Beginners $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/introduction-to-cloud-computing-on-amazon-aws-for-beginners/?couponCode=AWSOCT 2 Days left at this price!
  3. [English] [390 questions] AWS Certified Cloud Practitioner 500 Practice Exam Questions $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-certified-cloud-practitioner-practice-exams-c/?couponCode=AWSOCT 2 Days left at this price!
  4. [English] 34h 0m The Complete Train the Trainer Bootcamp - Beginners-Advanced $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-train-the-trainer-bootcamp-beginners-advanced/?couponCode=THANKS1 1 Day left at this price!
  5. [English] 26h 49m Leading Effective Meetings - You Can Lead Effective Meetings $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/leading-effective-meetings-you-can-lead-effective-meetings/?couponCode=THANKS2 1 Day left at this price!
  6. [English] 44h 40m SEO TRAINING 2021: Complete SEO Course + WordPress SEO Yoast $10.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/online-seo-training/?couponCode=2OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  7. [English] 8h 9m Facebook Dynamic Ads (Facebook Dynamic Retargeting) MASTERY $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-dynamic-ads/?couponCode=OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  8. [English] 10h 39m Lead Generation MASTERY with Facebook Lead & Messenger Ads $11.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-lead-ads-course/?couponCode=OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  9. [English] 56h 8m The Complete Digital Marketing Course for Local Businesses $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/local-digital-marketing/?couponCode=2OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  10. [English] 29h 1m BEST of Facebook Ads: Facebook Ads 2021 ULTIMATE PRO Edition $13.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-ads-2021/?couponCode=OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  11. [English] 39h 52m BEST of SEO: #1 SEO Training & Content Marketing Course 2021 $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/seo-training-2021/?couponCode=2OCT999 2 Days left at this price!
  12. [English] [390 questions] AWS Certified Developer Associate Practice Exam Questions $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-developer-associate-practice-exams/?couponCode=AWSOCT 18 hrs left at this price!
  13. [English] 29h 21m AWS Certified Developer Associate Exam Training 2020 [NEW] $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-certified-developer-associate-exam-training/?couponCode=AWSOCT 18 hrs left at this price!
  14. [English] 10h 0m Business Analysis Certification Program – Exam Questions https://www.udemy.com/course/business-analysis-certification-program-exam-questions/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  15. [English] 14h 45m Risk Management for Project Professionals (PMBOK6 Updated) https://www.udemy.com/course/risk-management-for-project-professionals/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  16. [English] 16h 39m Business Analysis Certification Program – The Concepts $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/business-analysis-certification-program-the-concepts/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  17. [English] 21h 6m The Agile Certified Practitioner Training Program (PMI-ACP) $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-agile-certified-practitioner-training-program-pmi-acp/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 2 Days left at this price!
  18. [English] 31h 16m The Agile Methodology for Project Risk Managers $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-agile-methodology-for-project-risk-managers/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  19. [English] 37h 7m Risk Management for Business Analysts (PMI-RMP/IIBA-ECBA) $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/risk-management-for-business-analysts-pmi-rmpiiba-ecba/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 1 Day left at this price!
  20. [English] 42h 20m Project Management Professional Certification Program (PMP) $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/project-management-professional-certification-program-pmp/?couponCode=LEARN2020OCT 2 Days left at this price!
Via Digital Cloud
  1. $19.49 [Code: AWSPROMO ] AWS Solutions Architect Associate Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) https://learn.digitalcloud.training/aws-certified-solutions-architect-ultimate-exam-training?add-to-cart=20244&quantity=1&is_buy_now=1
  2. 25. $19.49 [Code: AWSPROMO ] AWS Cloud Practitioner Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud https://learn.digitalcloud.training/aws-certified-cloud-practitioner-ultimate-exam-training?add-to-cart=21372&quantity=1&is_buy_now=1
Edunoix FREE:
  1. Become A Certified Web Developer From Scratch (Free)
  2. Learn Cloud Computing from Scratch for Beginners (Free)
  3. Learn Adobe Illustrator Course From Scratch (Free)
  4. Become A Copywriter Pro from Ground Up (Free)
  5. The Developers Guide to Python 3 Programming (Free)
  6. Linux For Absolute Beginners (Free)
E-degrees Eduonix Sitewide Code : OCTOBER50
  1. $35.00 DevOps E-degree
  2. $35.00 Fullstack JavaScript Developer E-Degree
  3. $42.50 Cybersecurity E-Degree
  4. $45.00 Cloud Computing E-Degree
submitted by ViralMedia007 to FREECoursesEveryday [link] [comments]

50+ FREE & Few Discounted Udemy : 2D Game Development : Build 7 Android iOS 2D Games using C# , Python for beginners , Learn Davinci , Facebook Dynamic Ads, Complete Modern JavaScript Firebase, Vue JS and Firebase:Build an iOS and Android chat app, Java Programming and more

List of Free and Discounted Udemy
Credit : https://freebiesglobal.com/
  1. [English] 5h 12m Python for beginners - Learn all the basics of python https://www.udemy.com/course/python-for-beginners-learn/?couponCode=LEARNPYTHON4FREE 1 Day left at this price!
  2. [English] 4h 10m Partnership Income Tax (Form 1065) https://www.udemy.com/course/partnership-income-tax-form-1065/?couponCode=EE34FD8E8982D4F6CBAE 2 Days left at this price!
  3. [English] 1h 6m Scrum Master Training - 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/scrum-master-one-training-2020/?couponCode=NOVFREE 2 Days left at this price!
  4. [English] 15h 37m Kotlin for Android O Development: From Beginner to Advanced https://www.udemy.com/course/kotlinandroid/?couponCode=BFDAYFREE 2 Days left at this price!
  5. [English] 9h 39m How to Write and Publish a Research Paper: Complete Guide https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-write-and-publish-a-research-paper-complete-guide/?couponCode=PAPER9 2 Days left at this price!
  6. [English] 4h 45m Grant Writing Full Course: Nonprofits, Artists & Freelancers https://www.udemy.com/course/grant-writing-course/?couponCode=GRANT9 2 Days left at this price!
  7. [English] 5h 21m Master Microsoft Excel from Beginner to Advanced https://www.udemy.com/course/microsoft-excel-from-beginner-to-advanced/?couponCode=EXCEL9 2 Days left at this price!
  8. [English] 1h 18m Animal Nutrition Certificate; Natural Dog And Cat Nutrition https://www.udemy.com/course/animal-nutrition-natural-dog-nutrition-and-cat-nutrition/?couponCode=FREEFORYOU08 2 Days left at this price!
  9. [English] 5h 44m Learn Davinci resolve for Youtube and social media videos https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-davinci-resolve-for-youtube-and-social-media-videos/?couponCode=FNEWCRDAV1 2 Days left at this price!
  10. [English] 6h 3m Product Owner PSPO 1 Scrum Product Owner Certification Prep https://www.udemy.com/course/product-owner-course/?couponCode=LAUNCH-OFFER-FREE 2 Days left at this price!
  11. [English] 4h 51m New Way to Make Money at No Budget! Drop Servicing WordPress https://www.udemy.com/course/create-drop-servicing-website-with-wordpress/?couponCode=1111FREE100PERCENT 1 Day left at this price!
  12. [English] 5h 10m Tax & Adjusting Entry Year-End Accounting Excel Worksheet https://www.udemy.com/course/tax-adjusting-entry-year-end-accounting-excel-worksheet/?couponCode=4F75C7B955BDC95E306F 2 Days left at this price!
  13. [English] 17h 50m 2D Game Development : Build 7 Android iOS 2D Games using C# https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-flappy-bird-unity/?couponCode=023E29A943A93369F1C6 2 Days left at this price!
  14. [English] 1h 12m Freelancing: 27 Ways to Make Money From Home as a Freelancer https://www.udemy.com/course/make-money-freelancing/?couponCode=A12EBE59DAB2B31F5607 2 Days left at this price!
  15. [Spanish] 4h 50m ¡Curso COMPLETO de COPYWRITING y STORYTELLING de 0 a 100! https://www.udemy.com/course/curso-completo-de-copywriting-y-storytelling-de-0-a-100/?couponCode=8D0A763E3DA14034689C 2 Days left at this price!
  16. [English] 4h 16m Forex Scalping Strategy Course-Guide in Scalping the Forex https://www.udemy.com/course/forex-scalping-strategy-course-guide-in-scalping-the-forex/?couponCode=4C93F6408EF024C06F90 2 Days left at this price!
  17. [English] 8h 33m Facebook Dynamic Ads (Facebook Dynamic Retargeting) MASTERY https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-dynamic-ads/?couponCode=TOP111111 2 Days left at this price!
  18. [English] 2h 59m Complete SQL Bootcamp with MySQL, PHP & Python https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-sql-bootcamp-with-mysql-php-python/?couponCode=SQLBNOV2020 2 Days left at this price!
  19. [English] 10h 21m 2020 Ultimate Guide to YouTube Channel & YouTube Masterclass https://www.udemy.com/course/tubeheroes/?couponCode=1AC5DC25FEC962A9F5FA 2 Days left at this price!
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  21. [English] 2h 37m Mindset for Success and Happiness - Complete Mindset Course https://www.udemy.com/course/mindset-for-success-and-happiness-complete-mindset-course/?couponCode=FB3A6C2A86A2242862A9 2 Days left at this price!
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Free Udemy Courses: Ethical Hacking A-Z, Python 3 Javascript, Linux, Spark & Hadoop Developer, Excel, SEO, SQL, Scrum, Agile, Youtube, Forex

The following description is not provided by this sub or any of it's contributors.
Udemy
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Free Udemy Courses: Ethical Hacking A-Z, Python 3 Javascript, Linux, Spark & Hadoop Developer, Excel, SEO, SQL, Scrum, Agile, Youtube, Forex

The following description is not provided by this sub or any of it's contributors.
Udemy
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Trading economic news

The majority of this sub is focused on technical analysis. I regularly ridicule such "tea leaf readers" and advocate for trading based on fundamentals and economic news instead, so I figured I should take the time to write up something on how exactly you can trade economic news releases.
This post is long as balls so I won't be upset if you get bored and go back to your drooping dick patterns or whatever.

How economic news is released

First, it helps to know how economic news is compiled and released. Let's take Initial Jobless Claims, the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits around the United States from Sunday through Saturday. Initial in this context means the first claim for benefits made by an individual during a particular stretch of unemployment. The Initial Jobless Claims figure appears in the Department of Labor's Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report, which compiles information from all of the per-state departments that report to the DOL during the week. A typical number is between 100k and 250k and it can vary quite significantly week-to-week.
The Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report contains data that lags 5 days behind. For example, the Report issued on Thursday March 26th 2020 contained data about the week ending on Saturday March 21st 2020.
In the days leading up to the Report, financial companies will survey economists and run complicated mathematical models to forecast the upcoming Initial Jobless Claims figure. The results of surveyed experts is called the "consensus"; specific companies, experts, and websites will also provide their own forecasts. Different companies will release different consensuses. Usually they are pretty close (within 2-3k), but for last week's record-high Initial Jobless Claims the reported consensuses varied by up to 1M! In other words, there was essentially no consensus.
The Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is released each Thursday morning at exactly 8:30 AM ET. (On Thanksgiving the Report is released on Wednesday instead.) Media representatives gather at the Frances Perkins Building in Washington DC and are admitted to the "lockup" at 8:00 AM ET. In order to be admitted to the lockup you have to be a credentialed member of a media organization that has signed the DOL lockup agreement. The lockup room is small so there is a limited number of spots.
No phones are allowed. Reporters bring their laptops and connect to a local network; there is a master switch on the wall that prevents/enables Internet connectivity on this network. Once the doors are closed the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is distributed, with a heading that announces it is "embargoed" (not to be released) prior to 8:30 AM. Reporters type up their analyses of the report, including extracting key figures like Initial Jobless Claims. They load their write-ups into their companies' software, which prepares to send it out as soon as Internet is enabled. At 8:30 AM the DOL representative in the room flips the wall switch and all of the laptops are connected to the Internet, releasing their write-ups to their companies and on to their companies' partners.
Many of those media companies have externally accessible APIs for distributing news. Media aggregators and squawk services (like RanSquawk and TradeTheNews) subscribe to all of these different APIs and then redistribute the key economic figures from the Report to their own subscribers within one second after Internet is enabled in the DOL lockup.
Some squawk services are text-based while others are audio-based. FinancialJuice.com provides a free audio squawk service; internally they have a paid subscription to a professional squawk service and they simply read out the latest headlines to their own listeners, subsidized by ads on the site. I've been using it for 4 months now and have been pretty happy. It usually lags behind the official release times by 1-2 seconds and occasionally they verbally flub the numbers or stutter and have to repeat, but you can't beat the price!
Important - I’m not affiliated with FinancialJuice and I’m not advocating that you use them over any other squawk. If you use them and they misspeak a number and you lose all your money don’t blame me. If anybody has any other free alternatives please share them!

How the news affects forex markets

Institutional forex traders subscribe to these squawk services and use custom software to consume the emerging data programmatically and then automatically initiate trades based on the perceived change to the fundamentals that the figures represent.
It's important to note that every institution will have "priced in" their own forecasted figures well in advance of an actual news release. Forecasts and consensuses all come out at different times in the days leading up to a news release, so by the time the news drops everybody is really only looking for an unexpected result. You can't really know what any given institution expects the value to be, but unless someone has inside information you can pretty much assume that the market has collectively priced in the experts' consensus. When the news comes out, institutions will trade based on the difference between the actual and their forecast.
Sometimes the news reflects a real change to the fundamentals with an economic effect that will change the demand for a currency, like an interest rate decision. However, in the case of the Initial Jobless Claims figure, which is a backwards-looking metric, trading is really just self-fulfilling speculation that market participants will buy dollars when unemployment is low and sell dollars when unemployment is high. Generally speaking, news that reflects a real economic shift has a bigger effect than news that only matters to speculators.
Massive and extremely fast news-based trades happen within tenths of a second on the ECNs on which institutional traders are participants. Over the next few seconds the resulting price changes trickle down to retail traders. Some economic news, like Non Farm Payroll Employment, has an effect that can last minutes to hours as "slow money" follows behind on the trend created by the "fast money". Other news, like Initial Jobless Claims, has a short impact that trails off within a couple minutes and is subsequently dwarfed by the usual pseudorandom movements in the market.
The bigger the difference between actual and consensus, the bigger the effect on any given currency pair. Since economic news releases generally relate to a single currency, the biggest and most easily predicted effects are seen on pairs where one currency is directly effected and the other is not affected at all. Personally I trade USD/JPY because the time difference between the US and Japan ensures that no news will be coming out of Japan at the same time that economic news is being released in the US.
Before deciding to trade any particular news release you should measure the historical correlation between the release (specifically, the difference between actual and consensus) and the resulting short-term change in the currency pair. Historical data for various news releases (along with historical consensus data) is readily available. You can pay to get it exported into Excel or whatever, or you can scroll through it for free on websites like TradingEconomics.com.
Let's look at two examples: Initial Jobless Claims and Non Farm Payroll Employment (NFP). I collected historical consensuses and actuals for these releases from January 2018 through the present, measured the "surprise" difference for each, and then correlated that to short-term changes in USD/JPY at the time of release using 5 second candles.
I omitted any releases that occurred simultaneously as another major release. For example, occasionally the monthly Initial Jobless Claims comes out at the exact same time as the monthly Balance of Trade figure, which is a more significant economic indicator and can be expected to dwarf the effect of the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report.
USD/JPY correlation with Initial Jobless Claims (2018 - present)
USD/JPY correlation with Non Farm Payrolls (2018 - present)
The horizontal axes on these charts is the duration (in seconds) after the news release over which correlation was calculated. The vertical axis is the Pearson correlation coefficient: +1 means that the change in USD/JPY over that duration was perfectly linearly correlated to the "surprise" in the releases; -1 means that the change in USD/JPY was perfectly linearly correlated but in the opposite direction, and 0 means that there is no correlation at all.
For Initial Jobless Claims you can see that for the first 30 seconds USD/JPY is strongly negatively correlated with the difference between consensus and actual jobless claims. That is, fewer-than-forecast jobless claims (fewer newly unemployed people than expected) strengthens the dollar and greater-than-forecast jobless claims (more newly unemployed people than expected) weakens the dollar. Correlation then trails off and changes to a moderate/weak positive correlation. I interpret this as algorithms "buying the dip" and vice versa, but I don't know for sure. From this chart it appears that you could profit by opening a trade for 15 seconds (duration with strongest correlation) that is long USD/JPY when Initial Jobless Claims is lower than the consensus and short USD/JPY when Initial Jobless Claims is higher than expected.
The chart for Non Farm Payroll looks very different. Correlation is positive (higher-than-expected payrolls strengthen the dollar and lower-than-expected payrolls weaken the dollar) and peaks at around 45 seconds, then slowly decreases as time goes on. This implies that price changes due to NFP are quite significant relative to background noise and "stick" even as normal fluctuations pick back up.
I wanted to show an example of what the USD/JPY S5 chart looks like when an "uncontested" (no other major simultaneously news release) Initial Jobless Claims and NFP drops, but unfortunately my broker's charts only go back a week. (I can pull historical data going back years through the API but to make it into a pretty chart would be a bit of work.) If anybody can get a 5-second chart of USD/JPY at March 19, 2020, UTC 12:30 and/or at February 7, 2020, UTC 13:30 let me know and I'll add it here.

Backtesting

So without too much effort we determined that (1) USD/JPY is strongly negatively correlated with the Initial Jobless Claims figure for the first 15 seconds after the release of the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report (when no other major news is being released) and also that (2) USD/JPY is strongly positively correlated with the Non Farms Payroll figure for the first 45 seconds after the release of the Employment Situation report.
Before you can assume you can profit off the news you have to backtest and consider three important parameters.
Entry speed: How quickly can you realistically enter the trade? The correlation performed above was measured from the exact moment the news was released, but realistically if you've got your finger on the trigger and your ear to the squawk it will take a few seconds to hit "Buy" or "Sell" and confirm. If 90% of the price move happens in the first second you're SOL. For back-testing purposes I assume a 5 second delay. In practice I use custom software that opens a trade with one click, and I can reliably enter a trade within 2-3 seconds after the news drops, using the FinancialJuice free squawk.
Minimum surprise: Should you trade every release or can you do better by only trading those with a big enough "surprise" factor? Backtesting will tell you whether being more selective is better long-term or not.
Hold time: The optimal time to hold the trade is not necessarily the same as the time of maximum correlation. That's a good starting point but it's not necessarily the best number. Backtesting each possible hold time will let you find the best one.
The spread: When you're only holding a position open for 30 seconds, the spread will kill you. The correlations performed above used the midpoint price, but in reality you have to buy at the ask and sell at the bid. Brokers aren't stupid and the moment volume on the ECN jumps they will widen the spread for their retail customers. The only way to determine if the news-driven price movements reliably overcome the spread is to backtest.
Stops: Personally I don't use stops, neither take-profit nor stop-loss, since I'm automatically closing the trade after a fixed (and very short) amount of time. Additionally, brokers have a minimum stop distance; the profits from scalping the news are so slim that even the nearest stops they allow will generally not get triggered.
I backtested trading these two news releases (since 2018), using a 5 second entry delay, real historical spreads, and no stops, cycling through different "surprise" thresholds and hold times to find the combination that returns the highest net profit. It's important to maximize net profit, not expected value per trade, so you don't over-optimize and reduce the total number of trades taken to one single profitable trade. If you want to get fancy you can set up a custom metric that combines number of trades, expected value, and drawdown into a single score to be maximized.
For the Initial Jobless Claims figure I found that the best combination is to hold trades open for 25 seconds (that is, open at 5 seconds elapsed and hold until 30 seconds elapsed) and only trade when the difference between consensus and actual is 7k or higher. That leads to 30 trades taken since 2018 and an expected return of... drumroll please... -0.0093 yen per unit per trade.
Yep, that's a loss of approx. $8.63 per lot.
Disappointing right? That's the spread and that's why you have to backtest. Even though the release of the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report has a strong correlation with movement in USD/JPY, it's simply not something that a retail trader can profit from.
Let's turn to the NFP. There I found that the best combination is to hold trades open for 75 seconds (that is, open at 5 seconds elapsed and hold until 80 seconds elapsed) and trade every single NFP (no minimum "surprise" threshold). That leads to 20 trades taken since 2018 and an expected return of... drumroll please... +0.1306 yen per unit per trade.
That's a profit of approx. $121.25 per lot. Not bad for 75 seconds of work! That's a +6% ROI at 50x leverage.

Make it real

If you want to do this for realsies, you need to run these numbers for all of the major economic news releases. Markit Manufacturing PMI, Factory Orders MoM, Trade Balance, PPI MoM, Export and Import Prices, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Retail Sales MoM, Industrial Production MoM, you get the idea. You keep a list of all of the releases you want to trade, when they are released, and the ideal hold time and "surprise" threshold. A few minutes before the prescribed release time you open up your broker's software, turn on your squawk, maybe jot a few notes about consensuses and model forecasts, and get your finger on the button. At the moment you hear the release you open the trade in the correct direction, hold it (without looking at the chart!) for the required amount of time, then close it and go on with your day.
Some benefits of trading this way: * Most major economic releases come out at either 8:30 AM ET or 10:00 AM ET, and then you're done for the day. * It's easily backtestable. You can look back at the numbers and see exactly what to expect your return to be. * It's fun! Packing your trading into 30 seconds and knowing that institutions are moving billions of dollars around as fast as they can based on the exact same news you just read is thrilling. * You can wow your friends by saying things like "The St. Louis Fed had some interesting remarks on consumer spending in the latest Beige Book." * No crayons involved.
Some downsides: * It's tricky to be fast enough without writing custom software. Some broker software is very slow and requires multiple dialog boxes before a position is opened, which won't cut it. * The profits are very slim, you're not going to impress your instagram followers to join your expensive trade copying service with your 30-second twice-weekly trades. * Any friends you might wow with your boring-ass economic talking points are themselves the most boring people in the world.
I hope you enjoyed this long as fuck post and you give trading economic news a try!
submitted by thicc_dads_club to Forex [link] [comments]

How To Start A Blog

Creating a blog couldn’t be easier and yet more complicated in 2020.
There are so many different things to think about, and yet so many different platforms you can use to streamline the process.
Understandably you’ll already have an idea of what you want to write about, I, unfortunately, can’t help you with that, but what I can do is show you how you can set up a killer blog that will drive readers to your website.
We’ll take you through what you’ll need to get started, our five steps to setting your blog up, the best blogging platforms to use, how to get your blog discovered, and the do’s and don’ts of blogging.
But first, we need to establish what type of blog you want to set up.

What type of blog?

Firstly you’ll want to have a goal in mind. What are you aiming to achieve through your blog?
Do you want to pull in more users to your sales pages by writing about your brand, to increase its publicity?
Do you want to build a blog that promotes brands and products from other companies?
Or do you just want to set up a blog documenting your travels around the world?
In order to pick the right software for you, you’ll want to have a grasp before you start of how big this blog is going to be, whether you’re going to monetize it, and what type of blog it’s going to become.
For example, if you’re planning on building an affiliate blogging programme, where you promote other brand’s products and call readers to action to but the products, you’ll be writing a lot of content and will benefit from having a more comprehensive blogging system with lots of plugins to promote sales.
But if you’re looking to just set up a personal, or a personal brand blog talking about yourself and your brand, you may not perhaps need as many comprehensive features as you would if you were building an affiliate blog.
You may also want to build an online portfolio of your work, which could require an entirely different piece of blogging kit, as opposed to the traditional blog that hosts articles and journals.

What you’ll need to get started.

There are 3 key things you’ll need to get up and running.

  1. A blogging platform.
After you’ve identified the type of blog you want to set up, plus whether you’re going to make money from it, you’ll then need to pick a blogging platform tailored to your needs. Many people chose to operate on WordPress as it is one of the most comprehensive blogging systems going, but they forget platforms like Wix and Squarespace that are great for both helping you save and make money and are great options for those who are less tech-savvy and are new to the blogging game. Plus if you’re blogging for business, you might want to think about using LinkedIn for your business blog.
We’ll go into more detail on what blogging platforms are best for your needs shortly, but make sure to keep in mind your objectives and technical experience when choosing the right platform for you.
  1. A hosting platform.
Every website needs a web host to store their website’s information on the internet. A web host is an online service provider that will store your website’s information on one of its online servers. This will put your blog out there to the world. The best web hosts will perform a variety of functions for you, for example, Wix is an all-in-one package that will host your website for you, allow you to register a domain name, and has easy to use website design tools to help you start your blog.
Web hosting can be expensive though so make sure you pick the best value for money host that can cater to the amount of traffic you have running through your website. Check out our post on the 11 best hosting providers. [Insert blog link here]
  1. A domain name.
I’m sure by now you already know what sort of blog you want to set up, whether that’s a travel, blog, a blog accompanying your online store, or perhaps an affiliate marketing product review blog. You’ll have a niche and an idea and now all you need is a name. Every website online has what’s called a domain name. It’s included in the website address at the top of your search bar, for example, our domain name is www.digitalsupermarket.com.
You’ll need to register a domain name after you purchase a hosting plan, to enable customers to find your site quickly and easily. One good tip is to find a hosting platform like Bluehost or GoDaddy that will provide you with a free domain name when you register for one of their web hosting plans as domain registration can be fairly pricey. Pick a great domain name that is easy for customers to read and type into Google so they can find it easier online.
TOP TIP: To increase your blog’s search engine ranking, and to help more people find you on Google, try to pick a domain name that has either a .com or .co.uk ending. These domains often rank a lot higher in Google searches than .org’s, .net’s, and .info’s, and for that reason can be slightly more expensive, yet can help boost your site’s reach and credibility.

The Best Blogging Platforms For You.

There are a wealth of platforms out there catering to all your blogging or online portfolio needs. We have listed some of the main ones below shedding some light on what needs they service and why they might be a great option for you.

WordPress - The best software to give you full customisation.

WordPress is perhaps one of the most renowned blogging platforms in the world, running approximately 35% of the internet. It’s favoured highly by professional bloggers because it gives you total freedom to do whatever you want with your blog. WordPress can help you build your blog using one if its search engine optimised themes, you can customise using its drag and drop website builder tool to create a stunning blog.
What’s more, is you’ll be able to use its professional blogging service to post your content online and take advantage of the hundreds of third party app plugins, you can integrate into your blog, to improve automation, add new features, and drive traffic to your site. The only downside of WordPress is that it can be quite technical and can take some time getting used to, but once you’ve got the hang of things, you’ll have great control over everything on your webpage.
Pros:
Cons:

Wix - Best for monetizing your site.

Wix is probably the most streamlined and easiest blog providers. It’s so simple and easy to use, it’s therefore great for anyone just starting out in the blogging world. You can customise one of its stunning templates with Wix’s drag and drop editor, and then upload blog posts to your site by slotting in pictures, gifs, social media buttons, sidebars, and other widgets that will help your blog stand out.
One of the coolest features about Wix is its marketplace integration, where you can install a whole variety of third-party applications to your blog to provide your users with greater features and usability. Wix is the perfect all-in-one blogging solution to help you easily build a platform to amplify your business to the world, helping you to make more money, but it can also save you a lot of money as it’s cost-efficient plans roll up, web hosting, blog posting, and domain registration all into one product!
Check out our Wix review and our comparison of Wix and Squarespace for a deep dive into Wix’s main blogging features. [Insert link here]
Pros:
Cons:

Squarespace - Best for creating visually stunning blogs.

Squarespace is very similar to Wix, in that it is an all-in-one web building and blogging platform that can help you build a blog you can monetize efficiently. It sets itself aside though through its better design and customisation features, making it one of the best platforms on the marketing if you’re looking to design a visually aesthetic blog. I’d recommend using this platform if you are a business operating in some sort of design, arts, or culinary industry.
Although it offers minimal template options, Squarespace’s templates are works of art and offer you great customization when building your blog. Plus Squarespace offers a great blogging tool that lets you schedule posts and customize your blog to suit more mobile audiences.
Pros:
Cons:

LinkedIn - Best for blogging businesses.

Aside from setting up a blog on your own site, corporate entities can use LinkedIn to enhance and amplify their presence online. LinkedIn has more than 575 million users, most of whom are professionals and members of corporate conglomerates, and you can use this social platform to target some of the most influential people in the world.
If you’re blogging about business this is the perfect platform to use a pre-existing community of people to enhance your social standing. You’ll then be able to build connections and followers on your profile who can easily share your blog on their platform through a couple of simple clicks.
Pros:
Cons:

Instagram - Best for the Artists.

Instagram is one of the biggest blogging sites in the world and without realising it, we are all technically bloggers in some way with our Instagram accounts, right? Ultimately for professional use, it is great for building a portfolio that has some form of visual or graphic eye-catching media around it. Instagram lets you post videos, photos, boomerangs, even write a blog in the photo’s caption if you wanted to!
Best of all, Instagram is free, and you can use its business software to link up your online store, to drag users away from your profile, using its product tagging features, and land them in your online checkouts. Our top tip for using Instagram is to post regularly and keep on the theme of your blog. Don’t go off-piste as you’re followers will catch on quickly and unfollow you. And with 1 billion people using the platform each day, it is a great way to gain people’s attention and build your brand’s presence online.
Pros:
Cons:

The Do’s And Don’ts Of Blogging

Here are a couple of top tips to bear in mind when building your blog to help you create an awesome, lead driven platform.

The Don’ts

Don’t use complicated language too soon.

With that in mind, do include language that your target audience will understand. But remember they are still here to learn, so don’t drop people in at the deep end right away by using complex jargon off the bat. Define terms and spell it out in layman’s terms for people at the outset, and as the post goes on, then introduce more complex writing. Introducing technical jargon at the start of your posts is an instant turn off for most readers.

Don’t waffle - Keep it succinct.

People want to get to the punchline now. 43% of people admit to skimming through blogs to get to the information they need, meaning to get your blogging site converting leads, you need to engage the reader early on and offer information succinctly throughout your post.
Plus don’t make your blog too long. Depending on what you’re writing, a lot of people will see large volumes of text and will switch off immediately. There is no set limit for what a good and bad amount of text is, that’s something you’ll have to figure out per your industry, but from my experience, the shorter, the better.

Don’t make headlines too long.

Also ensure that your headline is not more than 60 characters long. If it gets too long it won’t rank well in search engines and people just won’t want to read it. Check out this headline analysis tool which will analyse the effectiveness of your proposed headlines.

Don’t plagiarise or use credited images.

Copying other people’s work is lazy and can land you in a lot of hot water in extreme cases if you breach a copyright regulation. But it’s also just unfair on the person who has worked hard or been creative to write that work. The same goes for images, people need to make a living from the content and photos they’re taking so don’t steal that off them.

The Do’s

Do write killer headlines.

People are like goldfish. You only have about 3 seconds to get their attention. That’s why it is important to write catchy, funny, and enticing headlines to draw your reader in. One good way to do it is to use the “How To” and “10 Best” strategies. These sorts of titles telling people ‘How to set up a blog’ or ‘the ten best web hosting platforms’ are search engine optimised, lead winning titles that rank highly in Google searches. Try them out and see!

Do post regularly.

The key to creating a great blog that builds leads is posting regularly. Although it is not the best idea to post regularly. Ideally, you want to post 3-4 times a week to get the best influx of traffic to your site. You’ll also want to check out when’s best to post for your target audience, for example, if you’re in the FOREX market, you’ll want to post your blogs perhaps at 8 AM, before the markets open when city workers are on their staring at their phones on their morning commuter trains to the city.

Do share on social media.

Share your content far and wide on your social platforms. Everyone is on social media these days and its outreach is simply phenomenal. That’s why you should always share your posts to your social channels to get greater traffic on your website, and include share buttons all-around your blog to invite your readers to share your articles too!

Do use SEO keywords to drive more traffic.

In a nutshell, SEO keywords are the phrases people put into search engines when they are looking for information on a certain subject. They are how you get found on your website. Depending on what you are writing about, there is always a set of keywords relating to that topic that you can implement, to help you show up higher in people’s google searches. For example, people might regularly search in google, ‘what is the best compost for growing sunflowers?’ When you come to writing about growing sunflowers in your blog, you might want to use these words or incorporate this question into your blog somewhere, to help you rank higher on Google.

Do use call’s to action to take your readers to the next step.

If you don’t challenge your reader at the end of your blog to follow you on Instagram, or check out your sales pages, you’ll never get the leads or sales you are looking for. With that in mind, build compelling calls to action at the end of each of your posts, to pull readers into taking the next step. Check out our post on landing pages to see a couple of cool ways on how to implement calls to action on your site [insert link here].

Do identify a target audience.

People will often tell you to write as though you were in the shoes of the person you’re looking to bring to your website, but it’s true! Identify what type of people you’re writing to, for instance, if you’re writing a business blog about FOREX trading, you’ll write with potential traders in mind who have one eye on the stock market and the other on your blog. Or if you’re a wedding florist, you’ll set your portfolio up to target those people looking to get married in the next year.

Leads, Sales, Results.

Blogging is one of the most influential marketing strategies in the world and the best bloggers can reap some awesome rewards for producing some truly awesome content.
It is fairly straightforward to get started and we advise if you’re a small business, or someone with minimal blogging experience, to try out Wix or Squarespace first before you jump into using more technical platforms like WordPress. Once you’re up and running remember our top tips on what to do and what to avoid when writing your blog. Plus don’t forget to think about optimising and adding useful applications to your site to help you build and grow your content. Check out these 39 awesome blogging tools you can use to drive greater traffic to your site!
Found this article useful? Make sure you share it with your friends on Facebook and Twitter and let us know in the comments if you have any other useful blogging tips.
submitted by digitalsupermarket to u/digitalsupermarket [link] [comments]

EUR/USD forecast: Dollar is drifting

EUUSD forecast: Dollar is drifting

Fundamental US dollar forecast for today

Investors are staying aside ahead of Jerome Powell’s speech and the publications of the US important domestic data

People see what they want to see. The euro fans are so enthusiastic that they prefer to ignore the flaws of the single European currency. Is the US-China trade resumed? It is not a problem! In 2018-2019, the EUUSD pair was falling amid the trade conflict escalation. In 2020, however, it will be rising in this case because of the diversification of the PBOC FX reserves in favor of the euro. Are there talks about the expansion of European QE? It is not a problem! The ECB just can’t ease its monetary policy as much as the Fed. Is there the second pandemic wave in Europe? It doesn’t matter; the illness is asymptomatic; there won’t be another lockdown.
Optimism grows stronger. However, people with accompanying pathologies most often die from COVID-19. If we transfer this metaphor to the global economic sense, the accompanying pathology of the export-led euro-area economy is a downturn of the international trade. The process started because of trade wars, and the pandemic intensified it. According to the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, flows of goods across borders were 12.5% lower in the second quarter than in the first quarter of the year. It is the worst drop since records started in 2000. In the three months through June, the US exports contracted by 24.8%, the euro-area exports were 19.2% down. However, the US exports account for 20% of the country’s GDP; in the Eurozone, they exceed 40%. The euro-area exporters will have a difficult time, taking into account the euro’s rapid growth.
With this regard, the USA is in a better position, which allows the White House to repeat its mantra about the V-shaped economic recovery. People see what they want to see. Larry Kudlow, the chief economic advisor to Trump, ignores the problems of the US labor market and the drop in consumer confidence to the lowest level since 2014. He stresses the best new home sales over the past 14 years, industrial recovery, and the S&P500 record highs.

Dynamics of US consumer confidence



Source: Bloomberg

Dynamics of new home sales in USA



Source: Bloomberg
Unlike the White House, the Federal Reserve is more cautious. Jerome Powell has many times stressed the slow GDP recovery, the necessity to take control over OCVID-19, and fresh fiscal stimulus. The Republicans and Democrats can’t reach an agreement for a new financial aid package, and the Fed has to take the responsibility. So, investors anticipate Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole to get something meaningful.
According to MUFG Bank, Powell will focus on holding low interest rates, thereby weakening the greenback. Investors expect the Fed Chair to express the Fed’s willingness to “seek a moderate inflation overshoot” and reinforce its commitment to full employment. If so, there will be other evidence that the Fed is running out of monetary tools. If the number of Americans seeking unemployment benefits falls while durable goods orders rise, the EUUSD bears can go ahead and try to break out the support levels of 1.178 and 1.1755. Otherwise, weak data and the Fed’s willingness to weaken the dollar can resume the greenback’s downtrend.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/eurusd-forecast-dollar-is-drifting/?uid=285861726&cid=79634
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

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Work & Earn From Home During The Pandemic

The number of people working from home just increased due to the current global situation – the coronavirus pandemic. People are expected not to leave their homes, maintain a safe distance and take up safety precautions to prevent getting infected. Many people lost their livelihoods and while some have the options to work from home. Even before the current pandemic people did work and earn from their homes and managed to make a good income. There are various kinds of services one can provide such as online education, translation, software development, design & creative services, writing, sales and marketing, virtual assistance, bookkeeping and the list goes on. The need to learn a new skill that could help you earn from home is more than ever during these stressful times where many businesses are dying because they need the workers to be present at the work location. It’s true that there are people who cannot afford to learn a new skill or earn from home but those who have access to the resources should at least consider to try it.
The town where I live which is, fortunately, a green zone, which has no infected person at present, has many small businesses that got affected. The open hours have shortened to 7 hours with 2 days lockdown every week. Many businesses aren’t making enough income as they used to before the pandemic. People are turning to find different jobs. During these times, one can invest in themselves. Learn a skill such as copywriting, content creation, digital marketing, graphic design and trading and so on.
Trading is also a skill one can learn just like any other skills mentioned above. The idea that one can enter the market and start trading without investing in learning it, is totally incorrect. There is a lot of mental calculation and analysis that goes behind buying/selling of currency pairs. Trading skill is one of the most invaluable skill and can be financially rewarding in the long term. By investing in trading properly one can make gains of about 2%-5% a day which is more than bank interests of about 7%-9% a year. One can provide forex services to those who need it. Investoforex comprises of professionals with years of experience that aim to provide you with one of the best forex services. They invested in themselves and learned skill so rewarding in the long term and are sharing the ideas to people around the world. One may think all that is needed is a strong signal to make great gains but one needs to look at the chart and understand entry moves, make analysis & do what should be done.
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The Best (free) Multi time-frame Utility/Tool for MT4 to date

The Best (free) Multi time-frame Utility/Tool for MT4 to date
Disclaimer: I am not the creator nor am i promoting this tool for any personal gain whatsoever. This is a 100% free tool that can be downloaded from the web. I am not posting here to bring attention to myself or any other website regardless of context. I'm merely sharing this utility with the intention of helping new traders and veteran traders alike. I read the subreddit rules and it's prohibited to share links to blogs, youtube, and social media; nor can we post promotional marketing activity (promotions to generate sales). Since this post doesn't directly fall into those categories this post should hopefully be okay .
Hello fellow traders,
I'd like to make a quick post to share with you guys one of my absolute favorite MT4 tools in regards to multi time-frame analysis. I cant tell you how much this tool has helped me, especially when i was a new trader years ago trying to analyze various currency pairs. So i know this will help all of you as well.
I'm sure many of you guys have asked yourself or wondered which currency pairs are the best to trade at any particular time. Well this mt4 dashboard should help steer you in the right direction when analyzing the market and add an extra level of confirmation and market sentiment to your strategy. What is does is measure price distance from moving averages and mimics the functionality of a currency strength meter on steroids. (I personally use it to find the the strongest and weakest currencies and trade those). This dashboard is fully customization in regards to time frame, MA method, price and length.
To be safe i don't want to leave a link adding reason for mods to remove this post. Its called MaDash and can be found with a quick browser search (keywords "MaDash forex"). Remember, this is free and has always been free so if anyone is trying to charge for this then your're not at the right place. Anyway, i hope you all find this tool as beneficial to your trading repertoire as i have.
Happy Trading!
Screenshot of this dashboard for reference.
https://preview.redd.it/y40fl0qmmrz41.png?width=1552&format=png&auto=webp&s=a7470825ca2f227d030281fda16abc1b62b0ddbb

https://preview.redd.it/g72hmpn9vrz41.png?width=842&format=png&auto=webp&s=734aaf79a756c35ed9f0cb1d44cc20ca0680f87c
submitted by GareBearthetrader to Forex [link] [comments]

Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad (5199.KL)


https://preview.redd.it/gp18bjnlabr41.jpg?width=768&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6054e7f52e8d52da403016139ae43e0e799abf15
Download PDF of this article here: https://docdro.id/6eLgUPo
In light of the recent fall in oil prices due to the Saudi-Russian dispute and dampening demand for oil due to the lockdowns implemented globally, O&G stocks have taken a severe beating, falling approximately 50% from their highs at the beginning of the year. Not spared from this onslaught is Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad (Hibiscus), a listed oil and gas (O&G) exploration and production (E&P) company.
Why invest in O&G stocks in this particularly uncertain period? For one, valuations of these stocks have fallen to multi-year lows, bringing the potential ROI on these stocks to attractive levels. Oil prices are cyclical, and are bound to return to the mean given a sufficiently long time horizon. The trick is to find those companies who can survive through this downturn and emerge into “normal” profitability once oil prices rebound.
In this article, I will explore the upsides and downsides of investing in Hibiscus. I will do my best to cater this report to newcomers to the O&G industry – rather than address exclusively experts and veterans of the O&G sector. As an equity analyst, I aim to provide a view on the company primarily, and will generally refrain from providing macro views on oil or opinions about secular trends of the sector. I hope you enjoy reading it!
Stock code: 5199.KL
Stock name: Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad
Financial information and financial reports: https://www.malaysiastock.biz/Corporate-Infomation.aspx?securityCode=5199
Company website: https://www.hibiscuspetroleum.com/

Company Snapshot

Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad (5199.KL) is an oil and gas (O&G) upstream exploration and production (E&P) company located in Malaysia. As an E&P company, their business can be basically described as:
· looking for oil,
· drawing it out of the ground, and
· selling it on global oil markets.
This means Hibiscus’s profits are particularly exposed to fluctuating oil prices. With oil prices falling to sub-$30 from about $60 at the beginning of the year, Hibiscus’s stock price has also fallen by about 50% YTD – from around RM 1.00 to RM 0.45 (as of 5 April 2020).
https://preview.redd.it/3dqc4jraabr41.png?width=641&format=png&auto=webp&s=7ba0e8614c4e9d781edfc670016a874b90560684
https://preview.redd.it/lvdkrf0cabr41.png?width=356&format=png&auto=webp&s=46f250a713887b06986932fa475dc59c7c28582e
While the company is domiciled in Malaysia, its two main oil producing fields are located in both Malaysia and the UK. The Malaysian oil field is commonly referred to as the North Sabah field, while the UK oil field is commonly referred to as the Anasuria oil field. Hibiscus has licenses to other oil fields in different parts of the world, notably the Marigold/Sunflower oil fields in the UK and the VIC cluster in Australia, but its revenues and profits mainly stem from the former two oil producing fields.
Given that it’s a small player and has only two primary producing oil fields, it’s not surprising that Hibiscus sells its oil to a concentrated pool of customers, with 2 of them representing 80% of its revenues (i.e. Petronas and BP). Fortunately, both these customers are oil supermajors, and are unlikely to default on their obligations despite low oil prices.
At RM 0.45 per share, the market capitalization is RM 714.7m and it has a trailing PE ratio of about 5x. It doesn’t carry any debt, and it hasn’t paid a dividend in its listing history. The MD, Mr. Kenneth Gerard Pereira, owns about 10% of the company’s outstanding shares.

Reserves (Total recoverable oil) & Production (bbl/day)

To begin analyzing the company, it’s necessary to understand a little of the industry jargon. We’ll start with Reserves and Production.
In general, there are three types of categories for a company’s recoverable oil volumes – Reserves, Contingent Resources and Prospective Resources. Reserves are those oil fields which are “commercial”, which is defined as below:
As defined by the SPE PRMS, Reserves are “… quantities of petroleum anticipated to be commercially recoverable by application of development projects to known accumulations from a given date forward under defined conditions.” Therefore, Reserves must be discovered (by drilling, recoverable (with current technology), remaining in the subsurface (at the effective date of the evaluation) and “commercial” based on the development project proposed.)
Note that Reserves are associated with development projects. To be considered as “commercial”, there must be a firm intention to proceed with the project in a reasonable time frame (typically 5 years, and such intention must be based upon all of the following criteria:)
- A reasonable assessment of the future economics of the development project meeting defined investment and operating criteria; - A reasonable expectation that there will be a market for all or at least the expected sales quantities of production required to justify development; - Evidence that the necessary production and transportation facilities are available or can be made available; and - Evidence that legal, contractual, environmental and other social and economic concerns will allow for the actual implementation of the recovery project being evaluated.
Contingent Resources and Prospective Resources are further defined as below:
- Contingent Resources: potentially recoverable volumes associated with a development plan that targets discovered volumes but is not (yet commercial (as defined above); and) - Prospective Resources: potentially recoverable volumes associated with a development plan that targets as yet undiscovered volumes.
In the industry lingo, we generally refer to Reserves as ‘P’ and Contingent Resources as ‘C’. These ‘P’ and ‘C’ resources can be further categorized into 1P/2P/3P resources and 1C/2C/3C resources, each referring to a low/medium/high estimate of the company’s potential recoverable oil volumes:
- Low/1C/1P estimate: there should be reasonable certainty that volumes actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate; - Best/2C/2P estimate: there should be an equal likelihood of the actual volumes of petroleum being larger or smaller than the estimate; and - High/3C/3P estimate: there is a low probability that the estimate will be exceeded.
Hence in the E&P industry, it is easy to see why most investors and analysts refer to the 2P estimate as the best estimate for a company’s actual recoverable oil volumes. This is because 2P reserves (‘2P’ referring to ‘Proved and Probable’) are a middle estimate of the recoverable oil volumes legally recognized as “commercial”.
However, there’s nothing stopping you from including 2C resources (riskier) or utilizing 1P resources (conservative) as your estimate for total recoverable oil volumes, depending on your risk appetite. In this instance, the company has provided a snapshot of its 2P and 2C resources in its analyst presentation:
https://preview.redd.it/o8qejdyc8br41.png?width=710&format=png&auto=webp&s=b3ab9be8f83badf0206adc982feda3a558d43e78
Basically, what the company is saying here is that by 2021, it will have classified as 2P reserves at least 23.7 million bbl from its Anasuria field and 20.5 million bbl from its North Sabah field – for total 2P reserves of 44.2 million bbl (we are ignoring the Australian VIC cluster as it is only estimated to reach first oil by 2022).
Furthermore, the company is stating that they have discovered (but not yet legally classified as “commercial”) a further 71 million bbl of oil from both the Anasuria and North Sabah fields, as well as the Marigold/Sunflower fields. If we include these 2C resources, the total potential recoverable oil volumes could exceed 100 million bbl.
In this report, we shall explore all valuation scenarios giving consideration to both 2P and 2C resources.
https://preview.redd.it/gk54qplf8br41.png?width=489&format=png&auto=webp&s=c905b7a6328432218b5b9dfd53cc9ef1390bd604
The company further targets a 2021 production rate of 20,000 bbl (LTM: 8,000 bbl), which includes 5,000 bbl from its Anasuria field (LTM: 2,500 bbl) and 7,000 bbl from its North Sabah field (LTM: 5,300 bbl).
This is a substantial increase in forecasted production from both existing and prospective oil fields. If it materializes, annual production rate could be as high as 7,300 mmbbl, and 2021 revenues (given FY20 USD/bbl of $60) could exceed RM 1.5 billion (FY20: RM 988 million).
However, this targeted forecast is quite a stretch from current production levels. Nevertheless, we shall consider all provided information in estimating a valuation for Hibiscus.
To understand Hibiscus’s oil production capacity and forecast its revenues and profits, we need to have a better appreciation of the performance of its two main cash-generating assets – the North Sabah field and the Anasuria field.

North Sabah oil field
https://preview.redd.it/62nssexj8br41.png?width=1003&format=png&auto=webp&s=cd78f86d51165fb9a93015e49496f7f98dad64dd
Hibiscus owns a 50% interest in the North Sabah field together with its partner Petronas, and has production rights over the field up to year 2040. The asset contains 4 oil fields, namely the St Joseph field, South Furious field, SF 30 field and Barton field.
For the sake of brevity, we shall not delve deep into the operational aspects of the fields or the contractual nature of its production sharing contract (PSC). We’ll just focus on the factors which relate to its financial performance. These are:
· Average uptime
· Total oil sold
· Average realized oil price
· Average OPEX per bbl
With regards to average uptime, we can see that the company maintains relative high facility availability, exceeding 90% uptime in all quarters of the LTM with exception of Jul-Sep 2019. The dip in average uptime was due to production enhancement projects and maintenance activities undertaken to improve the production capacity of the St Joseph and SF30 oil fields.
Hence, we can conclude that management has a good handle on operational performance. It also implies that there is little room for further improvement in production resulting from increased uptime.
As North Sabah is under a production sharing contract (PSC), there is a distinction between gross oil production and net oil production. The former relates to total oil drawn out of the ground, whereas the latter refers to Hibiscus’s share of oil production after taxes, royalties and expenses are accounted for. In this case, we want to pay attention to net oil production, not gross.
We can arrive at Hibiscus’s total oil sold for the last twelve months (LTM) by adding up the total oil sold for each of the last 4 quarters. Summing up the figures yields total oil sold for the LTM of approximately 2,075,305 bbl.
Then, we can arrive at an average realized oil price over the LTM by averaging the average realized oil price for the last 4 quarters, giving us an average realized oil price over the LTM of USD 68.57/bbl. We can do the same for average OPEX per bbl, giving us an average OPEX per bbl over the LTM of USD 13.23/bbl.
Thus, we can sum up the above financial performance of the North Sabah field with the following figures:
· Total oil sold: 2,075,305 bbl
· Average realized oil price: USD 68.57/bbl
· Average OPEX per bbl: USD 13.23/bbl

Anasuria oil field
https://preview.redd.it/586u4kfo8br41.png?width=1038&format=png&auto=webp&s=7580fc7f7df7e948754d025745a5cf47d4393c0f
Doing the same exercise as above for the Anasuria field, we arrive at the following financial performance for the Anasuria field:
· Total oil sold: 1,073,304 bbl
· Average realized oil price: USD 63.57/bbl
· Average OPEX per bbl: USD 23.22/bbl
As gas production is relatively immaterial, and to be conservative, we shall only consider the crude oil production from the Anasuria field in forecasting revenues.

Valuation (Method 1)

Putting the figures from both oil fields together, we get the following data:
https://preview.redd.it/7y6064dq8br41.png?width=700&format=png&auto=webp&s=2a4120563a011cf61fc6090e1cd5932602599dc2
Given that we have determined LTM EBITDA of RM 632m, the next step would be to subtract ITDA (interest, tax, depreciation & amortization) from it to obtain estimated LTM Net Profit. Using FY2020’s ITDA of approximately RM 318m as a guideline, we arrive at an estimated LTM Net Profit of RM 314m (FY20: 230m). Given the current market capitalization of RM 714.7m, this implies a trailing LTM PE of 2.3x.
Performing a sensitivity analysis given different oil prices, we arrive at the following net profit table for the company under different oil price scenarios, assuming oil production rate and ITDA remain constant:
https://preview.redd.it/xixge5sr8br41.png?width=433&format=png&auto=webp&s=288a00f6e5088d01936f0217ae7798d2cfcf11f2
From the above exercise, it becomes apparent that Hibiscus has a breakeven oil price of about USD 41.8863/bbl, and has a lot of operating leverage given the exponential rate of increase in its Net Profit with each consequent increase in oil prices.
Considering that the oil production rate (EBITDA) is likely to increase faster than ITDA’s proportion to revenues (fixed costs), at an implied PE of 4.33x, it seems likely that an investment in Hibiscus will be profitable over the next 10 years (with the assumption that oil prices will revert to the mean in the long-term).

Valuation (Method 2)

Of course, there are a lot of assumptions behind the above method of valuation. Hence, it would be prudent to perform multiple methods of valuation and compare the figures to one another.
As opposed to the profit/loss assessment in Valuation (Method 1), another way of performing a valuation would be to estimate its balance sheet value, i.e. total revenues from 2P Reserves, and assign a reasonable margin to it.
https://preview.redd.it/o2eiss6u8br41.png?width=710&format=png&auto=webp&s=03960cce698d9cedb076f3d5f571b3c59d908fa8
From the above, we understand that Hibiscus’s 2P reserves from the North Sabah and Anasuria fields alone are approximately 44.2 mmbbl (we ignore contribution from Australia’s VIC cluster as it hasn’t been developed yet).
Doing a similar sensitivity analysis of different oil prices as above, we arrive at the following estimated total revenues and accumulated net profit:
https://preview.redd.it/h8hubrmw8br41.png?width=450&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d23f0f9c3dafda89e758b815072ba335467f33e
Let’s assume that the above average of RM 9.68 billion in total realizable revenues from current 2P reserves holds true. If we assign a conservative Net Profit margin of 15% (FY20: 23%; past 5 years average: 16%), we arrive at estimated accumulated Net Profit from 2P Reserves of RM 1.452 billion. Given the current market capitalization of RM 714 million, we might be able to say that the equity is worth about twice the current share price.
However, it is understandable that some readers might feel that the figures used in the above estimate (e.g. net profit margin of 15%) were randomly plucked from the sky. So how do we reconcile them with figures from the financial statements? Fortunately, there appears to be a way to do just that.
Intangible Assets
I refer you to a figure in the financial statements which provides a shortcut to the valuation of 2P Reserves. This is the carrying value of Intangible Assets on the Balance Sheet.
As of 2QFY21, that amount was RM 1,468,860,000 (i.e. RM 1.468 billion).
https://preview.redd.it/hse8ttb09br41.png?width=881&format=png&auto=webp&s=82e48b5961c905fe9273cb6346368de60202ebec
Quite coincidentally, one might observe that this figure is dangerously close to the estimated accumulated Net Profit from 2P Reserves of RM 1.452 billion we calculated earlier. But why would this amount matter at all?
To answer that, I refer you to the notes of the Annual Report FY20 (AR20). On page 148 of the AR20, we find the following two paragraphs:
E&E assets comprise of rights and concession and conventional studies. Following the acquisition of a concession right to explore a licensed area, the costs incurred such as geological and geophysical surveys, drilling, commercial appraisal costs and other directly attributable costs of exploration and appraisal including technical and administrative costs, are capitalised as conventional studies, presented as intangible assets.
E&E assets are assessed for impairment when facts and circumstances suggest that the carrying amount of an E&E asset may exceed its recoverable amount. The Group will allocate E&E assets to cash generating unit (“CGU”s or groups of CGUs for the purpose of assessing such assets for impairment. Each CGU or group of units to which an E&E asset is allocated will not be larger than an operating segment as disclosed in Note 39 to the financial statements.)
Hence, we can determine that firstly, the intangible asset value represents capitalized costs of acquisition of the oil fields, including technical exploration costs and costs of acquiring the relevant licenses. Secondly, an impairment review will be carried out when “the carrying amount of an E&E asset may exceed its recoverable amount”, with E&E assets being allocated to “cash generating units” (CGU) for the purposes of assessment.
On page 169 of the AR20, we find the following:
Carrying amounts of the Group’s intangible assets, oil and gas assets and FPSO are reviewed for possible impairment annually including any indicators of impairment. For the purpose of assessing impairment, assets are grouped at the lowest level CGUs for which there is a separately identifiable cash flow available. These CGUs are based on operating areas, represented by the 2011 North Sabah EOR PSC (“North Sabah”, the Anasuria Cluster, the Marigold and Sunflower fields, the VIC/P57 exploration permit (“VIC/P57”) and the VIC/L31 production license (“VIC/L31”).)
So apparently, the CGUs that have been assigned refer to the respective oil producing fields, two of which include the North Sabah field and the Anasuria field. In order to perform the impairment review, estimates of future cash flow will be made by management to assess the “recoverable amount” (as described above), subject to assumptions and an appropriate discount rate.
Hence, what we can gather up to now is that management will estimate future recoverable cash flows from a CGU (i.e. the North Sabah and Anasuria oil fields), compare that to their carrying value, and perform an impairment if their future recoverable cash flows are less than their carrying value. In other words, if estimated accumulated profits from the North Sabah and Anasuria oil fields are less than their carrying value, an impairment is required.
So where do we find the carrying values for the North Sabah and Anasuria oil fields? Further down on page 184 in the AR20, we see the following:
Included in rights and concession are the carrying amounts of producing field licenses in the Anasuria Cluster amounting to RM668,211,518 (2018: RM687,664,530, producing field licenses in North Sabah amounting to RM471,031,008 (2018: RM414,333,116))
Hence, we can determine that the carrying values for the North Sabah and Anasuria oil fields are RM 471m and RM 668m respectively. But where do we find the future recoverable cash flows of the fields as estimated by management, and what are the assumptions used in that calculation?
Fortunately, we find just that on page 185:
17 INTANGIBLE ASSETS (CONTINUED)
(a Anasuria Cluster)
The Directors have concluded that there is no impairment indicator for Anasuria Cluster during the current financial year. In the previous financial year, due to uncertainties in crude oil prices, the Group has assessed the recoverable amount of the intangible assets, oil and gas assets and FPSO relating to the Anasuria Cluster. The recoverable amount is determined using the FVLCTS model based on discounted cash flows (“DCF” derived from the expected cash in/outflow pattern over the production lives.)
The key assumptions used to determine the recoverable amount for the Anasuria Cluster were as follows:
(i Discount rate of 10%;)
(ii Future cost inflation factor of 2% per annum;)
(iii Oil price forecast based on the oil price forward curve from independent parties; and,)
(iv Oil production profile based on the assessment by independent oil and gas reserve experts.)
Based on the assessments performed, the Directors concluded that the recoverable amount calculated based on the valuation model is higher than the carrying amount.
(b North Sabah)
The acquisition of the North Sabah assets was completed in the previous financial year. Details of the acquisition are as disclosed in Note 15 to the financial statements.
The Directors have concluded that there is no impairment indicator for North Sabah during the current financial year.
Here, we can see that the recoverable amount of the Anasuria field was estimated based on a DCF of expected future cash flows over the production life of the asset. The key assumptions used by management all seem appropriate, including a discount rate of 10% and oil price and oil production estimates based on independent assessment. From there, management concludes that the recoverable amount of the Anasuria field is higher than its carrying amount (i.e. no impairment required). Likewise, for the North Sabah field.
How do we interpret this? Basically, what management is saying is that given a 10% discount rate and independent oil price and oil production estimates, the accumulated profits (i.e. recoverable amount) from both the North Sabah and the Anasuria fields exceed their carrying amounts of RM 471m and RM 668m respectively.
In other words, according to management’s own estimates, the carrying value of the Intangible Assets of RM 1.468 billion approximates the accumulated Net Profit recoverable from 2P reserves.
To conclude Valuation (Method 2), we arrive at the following:

Our estimates Management estimates
Accumulated Net Profit from 2P Reserves RM 1.452 billion RM 1.468 billion

Financials

By now, we have established the basic economics of Hibiscus’s business, including its revenues (i.e. oil production and oil price scenarios), costs (OPEX, ITDA), profitability (breakeven, future earnings potential) and balance sheet value (2P reserves, valuation). Moving on, we want to gain a deeper understanding of the 3 statements to anticipate any blind spots and risks. We’ll refer to the financial statements of both the FY20 annual report and the 2Q21 quarterly report in this analysis.
For the sake of brevity, I’ll only point out those line items which need extra attention, and skip over the rest. Feel free to go through the financial statements on your own to gain a better familiarity of the business.
https://preview.redd.it/h689bss79br41.png?width=810&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed47fce6a5c3815dd3d4f819e31f1ce39ccf4a0b
Income Statement
First, we’ll start with the Income Statement on page 135 of the AR20. Revenues are straightforward, as we’ve discussed above. Cost of Sales and Administrative Expenses fall under the jurisdiction of OPEX, which we’ve also seen earlier. Other Expenses are mostly made up of Depreciation & Amortization of RM 115m.
Finance Costs are where things start to get tricky. Why does a company which carries no debt have such huge amounts of finance costs? The reason can be found in Note 8, where it is revealed that the bulk of finance costs relate to the unwinding of discount of provision for decommissioning costs of RM 25m (Note 32).
https://preview.redd.it/4omjptbe9br41.png?width=1019&format=png&auto=webp&s=eaabfc824134063100afa62edfd36a34a680fb60
This actually refers to the expected future costs of restoring the Anasuria and North Sabah fields to their original condition once the oil reserves have been depleted. Accounting standards require the company to provide for these decommissioning costs as they are estimable and probable. The way the decommissioning costs are accounted for is the same as an amortized loan, where the initial carrying value is recognized as a liability and the discount rate applied is reversed each year as an expense on the Income Statement. However, these expenses are largely non-cash in nature and do not necessitate a cash outflow every year (FY20: RM 69m).
Unwinding of discount on non-current other payables of RM 12m relate to contractual payments to the North Sabah sellers. We will discuss it later.
Taxation is another tricky subject, and is even more significant than Finance Costs at RM 161m. In gist, Hibiscus is subject to the 38% PITA (Petroleum Income Tax Act) under Malaysian jurisdiction, and the 30% Petroleum tax + 10% Supplementary tax under UK jurisdiction. Of the RM 161m, RM 41m of it relates to deferred tax which originates from the difference between tax treatment and accounting treatment on capitalized assets (accelerated depreciation vs straight-line depreciation). Nonetheless, what you should take away from this is that the tax expense is a tangible expense and material to breakeven analysis.
Fortunately, tax is a variable expense, and should not materially impact the cash flow of Hibiscus in today’s low oil price environment.
Note: Cash outflows for Tax Paid in FY20 was RM 97m, substantially below the RM 161m tax expense.
https://preview.redd.it/1xrnwzm89br41.png?width=732&format=png&auto=webp&s=c078bc3e18d9c79d9a6fbe1187803612753f69d8
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Hibiscus is unexciting; I’ll just bring your attention to those line items which need additional scrutiny. I’ll use the figures in the latest 2Q21 quarterly report (2Q21) and refer to the notes in AR20 for clarity.
We’ve already discussed Intangible Assets in the section above, so I won’t dwell on it again.
Moving on, the company has Equipment of RM 582m, largely relating to O&G assets (e.g. the Anasuria FPSO vessel and CAPEX incurred on production enhancement projects). Restricted cash and bank balances represent contractual obligations for decommissioning costs of the Anasuria Cluster, and are inaccessible for use in operations.
Inventories are relatively low, despite Hibiscus being an E&P company, so forex fluctuations on carrying value of inventories are relatively immaterial. Trade receivables largely relate to entitlements from Petronas and BP (both oil supermajors), and are hence quite safe from impairment. Other receivables, deposits and prepayments are significant as they relate to security deposits placed with sellers of the oil fields acquired; these should be ignored for cash flow purposes.
Note: Total cash and bank balances do not include approximately RM 105 m proceeds from the North Sabah December 2019 offtake (which was received in January 2020)
Cash and bank balances of RM 90m do not include RM 105m of proceeds from offtake received in 3Q21 (Jan 2020). Hence, the actual cash and bank balances as of 2Q21 approximate RM 200m.
Liabilities are a little more interesting. First, I’ll draw your attention to the significant Deferred tax liabilities of RM 457m. These largely relate to the amortization of CAPEX (i.e. Equipment and capitalized E&E expenses), which is given an accelerated depreciation treatment for tax purposes.
The way this works is that the government gives Hibiscus a favorable tax treatment on capital expenditures incurred via an accelerated depreciation schedule, so that the taxable income is less than usual. However, this leads to the taxable depreciation being utilized quicker than accounting depreciation, hence the tax payable merely deferred to a later period – when the tax depreciation runs out but accounting depreciation remains. Given the capital intensive nature of the business, it is understandable why Deferred tax liabilities are so large.
We’ve discussed Provision for decommissioning costs under the Finance Costs section earlier. They are also quite significant at RM 266m.
Notably, the Other Payables and Accruals are a hefty RM 431m. What do they relate to? Basically, they are contractual obligations to the sellers of the oil fields which are only payable upon oil prices reaching certain thresholds. Hence, while they are current in nature, they will only become payable when oil prices recover to previous highs, and are hence not an immediate cash outflow concern given today’s low oil prices.
Cash Flow Statement
There is nothing in the cash flow statement which warrants concern.
Notably, the company generated OCF of approximately RM 500m in FY20 and RM 116m in 2Q21. It further incurred RM 330m and RM 234m of CAPEX in FY20 and 2Q21 respectively, largely owing to production enhancement projects to increase the production rate of the Anasuria and North Sabah fields, which according to management estimates are accretive to ROI.
Tax paid was RM 97m in FY20 and RM 61m in 2Q21 (tax expense: RM 161m and RM 62m respectively).

Risks

There are a few obvious and not-so-obvious risks that one should be aware of before investing in Hibiscus. We shall not consider operational risks (e.g. uptime, OPEX) as they are outside the jurisdiction of the equity analyst. Instead, we shall focus on the financial and strategic risks largely outside the control of management. The main ones are:
· Oil prices remaining subdued for long periods of time
· Fluctuation of exchange rates
· Customer concentration risk
· 2P Reserves being less than estimated
· Significant current and non-current liabilities
· Potential issuance of equity
Oil prices remaining subdued
Of topmost concern in the minds of most analysts is whether Hibiscus has the wherewithal to sustain itself through this period of low oil prices (sub-$30). A quick and dirty estimate of annual cash outflow (i.e. burn rate) assuming a $20 oil world and historical production rates is between RM 50m-70m per year, which considering the RM 200m cash balance implies about 3-4 years of sustainability before the company runs out of cash and has to rely on external assistance for financing.
Table 1: Hibiscus EBITDA at different oil price and exchange rates
https://preview.redd.it/gxnekd6h9br41.png?width=670&format=png&auto=webp&s=edbfb9621a43480d11e3b49de79f61a6337b3d51
The above table shows different EBITDA scenarios (RM ‘m) given different oil prices (left column) and USD:MYR exchange rates (top row). Currently, oil prices are $27 and USD:MYR is 1:4.36.
Given conservative assumptions of average OPEX/bbl of $20 (current: $15), we can safely say that the company will be loss-making as long as oil remains at $20 or below (red). However, we can see that once oil prices hit $25, the company can tank the lower-end estimate of the annual burn rate of RM 50m (orange), while at RM $27 it can sufficiently muddle through the higher-end estimate of the annual burn rate of RM 70m (green).
Hence, we can assume that as long as the average oil price over the next 3-4 years remains above $25, Hibiscus should come out of this fine without the need for any external financing.
Customer Concentration Risk
With regards to customer concentration risk, there is not much the analyst or investor can do except to accept the risk. Fortunately, 80% of revenues can be attributed to two oil supermajors (Petronas and BP), hence the risk of default on contractual obligations and trade receivables seems to be quite diminished.
2P Reserves being less than estimated
2P Reserves being less than estimated is another risk that one should keep in mind. Fortunately, the current market cap is merely RM 714m – at half of estimated recoverable amounts of RM 1.468 billion – so there’s a decent margin of safety. In addition, there are other mitigating factors which shall be discussed in the next section (‘Opportunities’).
Significant non-current and current liabilities
The significant non-current and current liabilities have been addressed in the previous section. It has been determined that they pose no threat to immediate cash flow due to them being long-term in nature (e.g. decommissioning costs, deferred tax, etc). Hence, for the purpose of assessing going concern, their amounts should not be a cause for concern.
Potential issuance of equity
Finally, we come to the possibility of external financing being required in this low oil price environment. While the company should last 3-4 years on existing cash reserves, there is always the risk of other black swan events materializing (e.g. coronavirus) or simply oil prices remaining muted for longer than 4 years.
Furthermore, management has hinted that they wish to acquire new oil assets at presently depressed prices to increase daily production rate to a targeted 20,000 bbl by end-2021. They have room to acquire debt, but they may also wish to issue equity for this purpose. Hence, the possibility of dilution to existing shareholders cannot be entirely ruled out.
However, given management’s historical track record of prioritizing ROI and optimal capital allocation, and in consideration of the fact that the MD owns 10% of outstanding shares, there is some assurance that any potential acquisitions will be accretive to EPS and therefore valuations.

Opportunities

As with the existence of risk, the presence of material opportunities also looms over the company. Some of them are discussed below:
· Increased Daily Oil Production Rate
· Inclusion of 2C Resources
· Future oil prices exceeding $50 and effects from coronavirus dissipating
Increased Daily Oil Production Rate
The first and most obvious opportunity is the potential for increased production rate. We’ve seen in the last quarter (2Q21) that the North Sabah field increased its daily production rate by approximately 20% as a result of production enhancement projects (infill drilling), lowering OPEX/bbl as a result. To vastly oversimplify, infill drilling is the process of maximizing well density by drilling in the spaces between existing wells to improve oil production.
The same improvements are being undertaken at the Anasuria field via infill drilling, subsea debottlenecking, water injection and sidetracking of existing wells. Without boring you with industry jargon, this basically means future production rate is likely to improve going forward.
By how much can the oil production rate be improved by? Management estimates in their analyst presentation that enhancements in the Anasuria field will be able to yield 5,000 bbl/day by 2021 (current: 2,500 bbl/day).
Similarly, improvements in the North Sabah field is expected to yield 7,000 bbl/day by 2021 (current: 5,300 bbl/day).
This implies a total 2021 expected daily production rate from the two fields alone of 12,000 bbl/day (current: 8,000 bbl/day). That’s a 50% increase in yields which we haven’t factored into our valuation yet.
Furthermore, we haven’t considered any production from existing 2C resources (e.g. Marigold/Sunflower) or any potential acquisitions which may occur in the future. By management estimates, this can potentially increase production by another 8,000 bbl/day, bringing total production to 20,000 bbl/day.
While this seems like a stretch of the imagination, it pays to keep them in mind when forecasting future revenues and valuations.
Just to play around with the numbers, I’ve come up with a sensitivity analysis of possible annual EBITDA at different oil prices and daily oil production rates:
Table 2: Hibiscus EBITDA at different oil price and daily oil production rates
https://preview.redd.it/jnpfhr5n9br41.png?width=814&format=png&auto=webp&s=bbe4b512bc17f576d87529651140cc74cde3d159
The left column represents different oil prices while the top row represents different daily oil production rates.
The green column represents EBITDA at current daily production rate of 8,000 bbl/day; the orange column represents EBITDA at targeted daily production rate of 12,000 bbl/day; while the purple column represents EBITDA at maximum daily production rate of 20,000 bbl/day.
Even conservatively assuming increased estimated annual ITDA of RM 500m (FY20: RM 318m), and long-term average oil prices of $50 (FY20: $60), the estimated Net Profit and P/E ratio is potentially lucrative at daily oil production rates of 12,000 bbl/day and above.
2C Resources
Since we’re on the topic of improved daily oil production rate, it bears to pay in mind the relatively enormous potential from Hibiscus’s 2C Resources. North Sabah’s 2C Resources alone exceed 30 mmbbl; while those from the yet undiagnosed Marigold/Sunflower fields also reach 30 mmbbl. Altogether, 2C Resources exceed 70 mmbbl, which dwarfs the 44 mmbbl of 2P Reserves we have considered up to this point in our valuation estimates.
To refresh your memory, 2C Resources represents oil volumes which have been discovered but are not yet classified as “commercial”. This means that there is reasonable certainty of the oil being recoverable, as opposed to simply being in the very early stages of exploration. So, to be conservative, we will imagine that only 50% of 2C Resources are eligible for reclassification to 2P reserves, i.e. 35 mmbbl of oil.
https://preview.redd.it/mto11iz7abr41.png?width=375&format=png&auto=webp&s=e9028ab0816b3d3e25067447f2c70acd3ebfc41a
This additional 35 mmbbl of oil represents an 80% increase to existing 2P reserves. Assuming the daily oil production rate increases similarly by 80%, we will arrive at 14,400 bbl/day of oil production. According to Table 2 above, this would yield an EBITDA of roughly RM 630m assuming $50 oil.
Comparing that estimated EBITDA to FY20’s actual EBITDA:
FY20 FY21 (incl. 2C) Difference
Daily oil production (bbl/day) 8,626 14,400 +66%
Average oil price (USD/bbl) $68.57 $50 -27%
Average OPEX/bbl (USD) $16.64 $20 +20%
EBITDA (RM ‘m) 632 630 -
Hence, even conservatively assuming lower oil prices and higher OPEX/bbl (which should decrease in the presence of higher oil volumes) than last year, we get approximately the same EBITDA as FY20.
For the sake of completeness, let’s assume that Hibiscus issues twice the no. of existing shares over the next 10 years, effectively diluting shareholders by 50%. Even without accounting for the possibility of the acquisition of new oil fields, at the current market capitalization of RM 714m, the prospective P/E would be about 10x. Not too shabby.
Future oil prices exceeding $50 and effects from coronavirus dissipating
Hibiscus shares have recently been hit by a one-two punch from oil prices cratering from $60 to $30, as a result of both the Saudi-Russian dispute and depressed demand for oil due to coronavirus. This has massively increased supply and at the same time hugely depressed demand for oil (due to the globally coordinated lockdowns being implemented).
Given a long enough timeframe, I fully expect OPEC+ to come to an agreement and the economic effects from the coronavirus to dissipate, allowing oil prices to rebound. As we equity investors are aware, oil prices are cyclical and are bound to recover over the next 10 years.
When it does, valuations of O&G stocks (including Hibiscus’s) are likely to improve as investors overshoot expectations and begin to forecast higher oil prices into perpetuity, as they always tend to do in good times. When that time arrives, Hibiscus’s valuations are likely to become overoptimistic as all O&G stocks tend to do during oil upcycles, resulting in valuations far exceeding reasonable estimates of future earnings. If you can hold the shares up until then, it’s likely you will make much more on your investment than what we’ve been estimating.

Conclusion

Wrapping up what we’ve discussed so far, we can conclude that Hibiscus’s market capitalization of RM 714m far undershoots reasonable estimates of fair value even under conservative assumptions of recoverable oil volumes and long-term average oil prices. As a value investor, I hesitate to assign a target share price, but it’s safe to say that this stock is worth at least RM 1.00 (current: RM 0.45). Risk is relatively contained and the upside far exceeds the downside. While I have no opinion on the short-term trajectory of oil prices, I can safely recommend this stock as a long-term Buy based on fundamental research.
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